Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jaume Munar v Rinky Hijikata

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 15:04 UTC

Score final : Jaume Munar 2–0 Rinky Hijikata

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prévision 55.16%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.705%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.882%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.88%54.99%55.12%56.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.80%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.84%2.23cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.618%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%45.01%44.88%47.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.56%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jaume Munar (Local) : 55.16% ; Rinky Hijikata (Visiteur) : 44.84%. Pour Jaume Munar (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.80, pour une espérance de -0.705% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.705%E -0.392%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -0.705%E -0.392%K -0.882%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -9.43%E -4.67%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -1.81%E -1.02%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.53%E -4.18%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:59
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.91%E -1.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.46%E -1.98%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.33%E -5.16%K -10.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 15:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:25
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.02%E -2.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.71%E -1.25%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-02 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.05%E -1.89%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 13:05
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:19
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:34
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:29
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 13:54
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.57%E -2.64%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.40%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:15
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 11:40
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.67%E -3.32%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:45
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:59
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:49
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -1.81%E -0.826%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:53
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.60%E -1.68%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.77%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.84%E -2.78%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 12:53
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.36%E -0.618%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.09%E -3.94%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.19%E -3.47%K -6.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-08-02 15:00
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-08-02 15:00
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.4%2026-08-02 15:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-08-02 15:00