Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duncan Chan v Thiago Agustin Tirante

2026-08-03 15:00 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Duncan Chan (Local)

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV +0.708%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.289%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.85%29.23%29.21%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.243.303.4534.48%30.90%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit)

Prediction 70.81%1.41fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.13%70.77%70.79%72.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.331.331.3877.52%74.99%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Duncan Chan (Local): 29.19%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit): 70.81%. For Duncan Chan (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.45, producing a positive expected value of +0.708%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.708%E +0.205%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-02 12:54
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.708%E +0.205%K +0.289%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 15:55
SportsBet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.168%E -0.049%K -0.069%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 15:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:05
BetAnything3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -2.80%E -0.839%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:55
LowVig.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -3.09%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 15:55
BetOnline.ag3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -3.09%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 15:55
DraftKings3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.09%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:09
GTbets3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.09%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:45
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:44
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 12:45
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:15
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:15
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:15
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
Bally Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:15
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:15
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:14
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:19
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:39
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 17:34
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:25
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 13:29
1xBet3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:35
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 12:45
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:54
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 15:54
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:45
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:39
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 20:20
Betclic (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 19:06
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 12:44
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:40
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:10
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:44
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 19:50
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.95%E -6.11%K -26.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:14
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:30
Caesars3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:25
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 15:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 20:04
betano_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 19:59
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.89%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.89%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.66%E -6.71%K -29.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-02 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-08-02 16:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-08-02 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-08-02 16:15
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-08-02 16:15
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%3.2%2026-08-02 19:40
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%4.7%2026-08-02 20:19