Language:English
Duncan Chan v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Duncan Chan (Local)
Prediction 27.56%3.63fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.215%
Kelly -0.298%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%27.78%27.37%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.383.6033.33%29.76%29.59%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit)
Prediction 72.44%1.38fair odd
EV -0.036%
Edge -0.026%
Kelly -0.095%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.49%72.22%72.63%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.3878.13%75.74%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Duncan Chan (Local): 27.56%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit): 72.44%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.3805. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.3800, with an expected value of -0.036%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -1.60%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -1.88%E -0.527%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.70%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 07:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.39%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -8.77%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 07:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 10:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
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