Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Duncan Chan v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Inizio: 2026-08-04 15:08 UTC

Finale: Duncan Chan 1–2 Thiago Agustin Tirante

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Duncan Chan (Casa)

Previsione 27.56%3.63quota equa
EV -0.775%
Vantaggio -0.215%
Kelly -0.298%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.65%27.78%27.37%31.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.363.383.6033.33%29.76%29.59%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.44%1.38quota equa
EV -0.036%
Vantaggio -0.026%
Kelly -0.095%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%72.22%72.63%73.35%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.321.321.3878.13%75.74%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Duncan Chan (Casa): 27.56%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta): 72.44%. Per Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.3805. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.3800, con un valore atteso del -0.036%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 07:54
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-04 07:59
Pinnacle🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -1.60%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 14:50
SportsBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -1.88%E -0.527%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 07:54
FanDuel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 07:54
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 07:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:50
1xBet🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.70%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:49
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 07:47
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 09:55
ReBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 14:04
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 07:59
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:00
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:59
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 08:04
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 07:40
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 11:29
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 14:50
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 08:05
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:55
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 10:34
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 14:19
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:40
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 14:20
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 07:55
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.39%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 14:44
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 12:35
DraftKings🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 14:54
GTbets🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -8.77%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 07:39
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:45
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:39
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:39
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 11:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 11:40
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:19
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:43
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 10:13
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 11:39
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 14:25
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:50
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 14:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-08-04 14:55
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-08-04 14:55
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%1.7%2026-08-04 14:50
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29%2.6%2026-08-04 14:45
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%2.6%2026-08-04 14:55