Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Duncan Chan (Casa): 27.56%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta): 72.44%. Per Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.3805. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.3800, con un valore atteso del -0.036%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -1.60%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -1.88%E -0.527%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.70%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 07:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.39%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -8.77%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 07:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 10:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |