Idioma:Español
Duncan Chan v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Resultado del partido
Duncan Chan (Local)
Predicción 29.13%3.43momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.637%
Kelly +0.890%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.13%29.06%31.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.253.303.5133.90%30.79%30.30%28.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Predicción 70.87%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -5.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.13%70.87%70.94%72.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.291.331.331.3877.52%74.97%75.19%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Duncan Chan (Local): 29.13%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 70.87%. Para Duncan Chan (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.43. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.51, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.24%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV +2.24%E +0.637%K +0.890%G +0.020% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 20:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV +0.487%E +0.141%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.487%E +0.141%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -0.386%E -0.113%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.969%E -0.285%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| BetAnything | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -3.30%E -0.994%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.91%EV -3.30%E -0.994%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.09%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.30%E -0.994%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:09 |
| GTbets | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.30%E -0.994%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Bally Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 17:34 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 20:40 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.86%E -6.05%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 13:29 |
| 1xBet | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 17:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:44 |
| betfred_uk | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 20:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 19:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.03%E -3.75%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Everygame | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 13:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.57%E -6.65%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.86%E -6.05%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.61%E -2.66%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 15:25 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.32%E -3.20%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 15:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 20:28 |
| betano_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Caesars | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.74%E -4.31%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| ReBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.45%E -4.88%K -20.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Neds | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.19%E -1.59%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.19%E -1.59%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Matchbook | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| ProphetX | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 21:10 |
| Smarkets | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 20:30 |
| Novig | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 21:09 |