Idioma:Español
Duncan Chan v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Duncan Chan (Local)
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.775%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.298%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.65%27.78%27.37%31.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.383.6033.33%29.76%29.59%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Predicción 72.44%1.38momio equitativo
EV -0.036%
Ventaja -0.026%
Kelly -0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.49%72.22%72.63%73.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.321.321.3878.13%75.74%75.76%72.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Duncan Chan (Local): 27.56%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante): 72.44%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.3805. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.3800, con un valor esperado de -0.036%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -0.775%E -0.215%K -0.298%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%EV -1.60%E -0.449%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -1.88%E -0.527%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.15%E -0.607%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -2.70%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 07:47 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 09:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 14:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 08:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 07:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 07:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.28%E -5.69%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 08:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 10:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 07:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.29%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.56%E -5.08%K -22.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -7.39%E -2.20%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.67%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.21%E -1.64%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -8.49%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 14:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -8.77%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.11%E -3.90%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 07:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -2.93%E -2.19%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.42%E -3.21%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 07:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.80%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.83%E -4.49%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 10:13 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -13.18%E -4.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -4.38%E -3.32%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 11:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.56%E -4.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.66%E -2.75%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -17.31%E -5.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.036%E -0.026%K -0.095%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 14:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 1.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.29% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 14:55 |