语言:简体中文
Daniel Merida Aguilar v Liam Draxl
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)
预测 58.56%1.71公平赔率
EV -2.80%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -4.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
57.37%58.69%58.52%60.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.621.621.6664.52%61.67%61.73%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Liam Draxl (客队)
预测 41.44%2.41公平赔率
EV +1.54%
优势 +0.628%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.016%
假设最高赔率为 2.45
博彩公司预测分布
39.66%41.31%41.48%42.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.182.272.252.4545.87%43.97%44.44%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Daniel Merida Aguilar (主队)：58.56%；Liam Draxl (客队)：41.44%。 对于“Liam Draxl (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.41。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.45，对应+1.54%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.72%E -3.56%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.54%E +0.628%K +1.06%G +0.016% | 2.9% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +0.294%E +0.122%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.535%E -0.223%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -0.535%E -0.223%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.61%E -1.11%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.85%E -1.66%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-04 14:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 15:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.90%E -4.34%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.48%E -4.74%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.07%E -5.14%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.24%E -5.96%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.68%E -2.03%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.09%E -2.22%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.51%E -2.42%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 14:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.97%E -2.42%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.75%E -3.00%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.38%E -2.05%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.58%E -3.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.31%E -3.94%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-04 17:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.65%E -5.55%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.82%E -4.01%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-04 17:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -5.14%E -3.17%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -9.65%E -4.43%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05% | 0.0% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-08-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 2.5% | 2026-08-04 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16% | 3.4% | 2026-08-04 17:15 |