Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Jakub Mensik

Kickoff: 2026-08-10 00:22 UTC

Final: Botic van de Zandschulp 0–0 Jakub Mensik

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV +4.99%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.094%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.96%28.65%28.88%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.303.6533.33%29.71%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visit)

Prediction 71.23%1.40fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -6.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%71.35%71.12%74.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.331.3778.74%75.74%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 28.77%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 71.23%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.56%E +0.988%K +1.37%G +0.049%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.11%E -6.29%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 00:05
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.680%E +0.194%K +0.272%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +0.680%E +0.194%K +0.272%G +0.002%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.53%E -7.51%K -35.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 00:05
SportsBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -0.471%E -0.136%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 00:05
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Pinnacle🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.62%E -0.474%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.41%E -1.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 22:40
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 20:44
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.53%E -7.51%K -35.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.63%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 23:59
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 20:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 20:45
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 20:45
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 22:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
1xBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -5.65%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 23:29
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:55
Fanatics🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 03:35
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 00:15
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 23:50
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 23:25
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 00:05
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:40
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:00
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 00:05
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 00:04
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -9.68%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -2.41%E -1.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 05:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 20:45
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:40
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:30
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Matchbook3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-08-09 23:55
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-08-10 00:05