Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Jakub Mensik

2026-08-09 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Predicción 30.32%3.30momio equitativo
EV +0.061%
Ventaja +0.019%
Kelly +0.027%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.31%30.49%32.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.073.103.3034.48%32.57%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Predicción 69.68%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -6.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%69.69%69.51%71.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.73%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Botic van de Zandschulp (Local): 30.32%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 69.68%. Para Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.298. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.300, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.061%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.061%E +0.019%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.63%E -4.95%K -19.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 08:35
FanDuel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.45%E -0.448%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 06:00
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.45%E -0.448%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 06:00
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -1.45%E -0.448%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -8.72%E -6.66%K -28.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 06:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.93%E -4.40%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 05:50
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 06:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.97%E -0.928%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.42%E -7.24%K -31.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 05:50
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.88%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.84%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 08:20
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 06:00
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 06:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 06:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.49%E -1.42%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.93%E -4.40%K -16.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:41
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -4.54%E -3.31%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 05:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.40%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 08:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 05:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 05:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:21
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:21
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:21
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Bally Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 07:45
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.00%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 06:00
Dabble (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.84%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.84%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 08:00
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 07:05
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.24%E -3.85%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 05:50
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.93%E -4.40%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 05:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.93%E -4.40%K -16.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 05:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.63%E -4.95%K -19.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 07:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 06:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 06:16
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.04%E -3.01%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.33%E -5.51%K -22.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 07:20
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 05:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 05:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 05:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.45%E -1.75%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 05:50
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.84%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 05:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.84%E -2.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 05:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -8.02%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 06:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -8.02%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 06:00
ReBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -12.07%E -4.16%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -8.02%E -6.08%K -25.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-08 06:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%4.3%2026-08-08 08:35
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%4.7%2026-08-08 07:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%8.6%2026-08-08 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%9.2%2026-08-08 07:15
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.92%13.0%2026-08-08 07:50
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%14.0%2026-08-08 08:16
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%1.20I 83.33%NM 70.73%17.8%2026-08-08 07:25