Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botic van de Zandschulp v Jakub Mensik

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 00:22 UTC

Score final : Botic van de Zandschulp 0–0 Jakub Mensik

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Botic van de Zandschulp (Local)

Prévision 28.77%3.48cote équitable
EV +4.99%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.094%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%28.65%28.88%31.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.303.6533.33%29.71%30.30%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.23%1.40cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -6.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%71.35%71.12%74.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.331.3778.74%75.74%75.19%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Botic van de Zandschulp (Local) : 28.77% ; Jakub Mensik (Visiteur) : 71.23%. Pour Botic van de Zandschulp (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.48. 17 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.65, soit une espérance positive de +4.99%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV +4.99%E +1.37%K +1.88%G +0.094%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -8.82%E -6.89%K -31.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +3.56%E +0.988%K +1.37%G +0.049%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.11%E -6.29%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 00:05
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.680%E +0.194%K +0.272%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV +0.680%E +0.194%K +0.272%G +0.002%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.53%E -7.51%K -35.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 00:05
SportsBet🎯3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -0.471%E -0.136%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 00:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 00:05
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -0.758%E -0.220%K -0.310%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Pinnacle🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -1.62%E -0.474%K -0.670%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -2.41%E -1.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-10 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 22:40
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 20:44
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 23:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -2.20%E -0.646%K -0.915%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -9.53%E -7.51%K -35.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.63%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 23:59
NordicBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 20:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 20:45
Betsson🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 20:45
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 22:10
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.07%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 00:00
1xBet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -5.65%E -1.72%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 23:29
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:55
Fanatics🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 00:05
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 03:35
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 00:15
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 23:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 23:50
Fliff🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.51%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.10%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -6.80%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 23:25
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 00:05
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 21:45
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.83%E -2.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:40
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.55%E -3.39%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:00
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.97%E -4.52%K -18.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 00:05
betano_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.95%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 00:04
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -9.68%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -2.41%E -1.76%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 05:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 20:45
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:40
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.83%E -3.49%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.26%E -3.95%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:30
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.57%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.12%E -2.30%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-08-10 00:05
Novig◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-08-09 23:55
ProphetX◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-08-10 00:05
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-08-10 00:05