Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar v Rafael Jodar

Kickoff: 2026-04-13 16:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaume Munar (Local)

Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV +8.79%
Edge +2.55%
Kelly +3.60%
Growth +0.317%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%31.61%31.64%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.4435.71%33.65%33.90%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Visit)

Prediction 68.38%1.46fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%68.39%68.36%72.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.401.4275.76%72.21%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaume Munar (Local): 31.62%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 68.38%. For Jaume Munar (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +8.79%E +2.55%K +3.60%G +0.317%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -0.699%E -0.223%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 16:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -8.38%E -6.25%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -2.28%E -0.738%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.60%E -0.843%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 16:48
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.86%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:48
Coolbet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.18%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:48
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:50
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.76%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:50
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:49
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:47
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%3.7%2026-04-13 16:50