La scuola delle quote

Jaume Munar v Rafael Jodar

Inizio: 2026-04-13 16:55 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaume Munar (Casa)

Previsione 31.62%3.16quota equa
EV +8.79%
Vantaggio +2.55%
Kelly +3.60%
Crescita +0.317%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.73%31.61%31.64%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.972.953.4435.71%33.65%33.90%29.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rafael Jodar (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.38%1.46quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -2.05%
Kelly -6.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.67%68.39%68.36%72.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.381.401.4275.76%72.21%71.43%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +8.79%E +2.55%K +3.60%G +0.317%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -0.699%E -0.223%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 16:50
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -8.38%E -6.25%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
DraftKings3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -2.28%E -0.738%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:50
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.60%E -0.843%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 16:48
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.86%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:48
Coolbet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.18%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:48
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:50
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:50
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:49
SportsBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.76%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:50
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
ReBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Bally Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Hard Rock Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Fliff2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:49
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:49
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:47
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:50
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%3.7%2026-04-13 16:50