StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jaume Munar v Rafael Jodar

Matchstart: 2026-04-13 16:55 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jaume Munar (Hemma)

Prognos 31.62%3.16rättvist odds
EV +8.79%
Fördel +2.55%
Kelly +3.60%
Tillväxt +0.317%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.73%31.61%31.64%33.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.972.953.4435.71%33.65%33.90%29.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rafael Jodar (Borta)

Prognos 68.38%1.46rättvist odds
EV -2.91%
Fördel -2.05%
Kelly -6.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.67%68.39%68.36%72.27%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.381.401.4275.76%72.21%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jaume Munar (Hemma): 31.62%; Rafael Jodar (Borta): 68.38%. För Jaume Munar (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.16. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.44, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV +8.79%E +2.55%K +3.60%G +0.317%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -9.74%E -7.38%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -0.699%E -0.223%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-13 16:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -1.96%E -0.634%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -8.38%E -6.25%K -24.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
DraftKings🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%EV -2.28%E -0.738%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -2.60%E -0.843%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 16:48
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.86%E -1.27%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-13 16:48
Coolbet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.18%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:48
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-13 16:50
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:50
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-13 16:49
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:50
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:49
SportsBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.76%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -9.06%E -6.81%K -27.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:50
GTbets🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
ReBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-13 16:49
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:49
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Fliff🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-13 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-13 16:50
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.64%E -4.09%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:50
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:49
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.69%E -5.70%K -21.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:49
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.92%E -3.10%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 16:47
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.24%E -3.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.59%E -2.55%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-13 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.01%E -5.15%K -19.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.27%E -3.05%K -10.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 16:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-04-13 16:50
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%2.7%2026-04-13 16:50
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.97%3.7%2026-04-13 16:50