Szkoła Kursów

Hamad Medjedovic v Nuno Borges

Początek: 2026-04-17 10:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 61.92%1.61kurs godziwy
EV +0.313%
Przewaga +0.194%
Kelly +0.506%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.14%62.05%61.31%66.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.411.521.501.6270.92%65.95%66.67%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nuno Borges (Goście)

Prognoza 38.08%2.63kurs godziwy
EV +8.14%
Przewaga +2.87%
Kelly +4.42%
Wzrost +0.360%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.84

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
33.80%37.95%38.69%41.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.252.482.452.8444.44%40.33%40.82%35.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-17 09:13
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271%2.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%5.3%2026-04-17 09:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%5.8%2026-04-17 09:10
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%7.3%2026-04-17 09:13
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%4.6%2026-04-17 09:04
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%6.0%2026-04-17 09:12
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017%5.5%2026-04-17 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017%7.4%2026-04-17 09:01
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-17 09:13
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%5.3%2026-04-17 09:15
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.235%E -0.090%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:08
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 09:12
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:04
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 09:14
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:14
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.54%E -0.971%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 09:14
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.18%E -5.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 09:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.313%E +0.194%K +0.506%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 09:14
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-17 09:14
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-04-17 09:15
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%6.4%2026-04-17 09:14