L’École des cotes

Hamad Medjedovic v Nuno Borges

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (Local)

Prévision 61.92%1.61cote équitable
EV +0.313%
Avantage +0.194%
Kelly +0.506%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%62.05%61.31%66.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.521.501.6270.92%65.95%66.67%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nuno Borges (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.08%2.63cote équitable
EV +8.14%
Avantage +2.87%
Kelly +4.42%
Croissance +0.360%

avec la cote maximale 2.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.80%37.95%38.69%41.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.452.8444.44%40.33%40.82%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-17 09:13
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271%2.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%5.3%2026-04-17 09:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%5.8%2026-04-17 09:10
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%7.3%2026-04-17 09:13
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%4.6%2026-04-17 09:04
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%6.0%2026-04-17 09:12
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017%5.5%2026-04-17 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017%7.4%2026-04-17 09:01
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-17 09:13
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%5.3%2026-04-17 09:15
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.235%E -0.090%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:08
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 09:12
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:04
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 09:14
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:14
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.54%E -0.971%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 09:14
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.18%E -5.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 09:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.313%E +0.194%K +0.506%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 09:14
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-17 09:14
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-04-17 09:15
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%6.4%2026-04-17 09:14