La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hamad Medjedovic v Nuno Borges
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hamad Medjedovic (Local)
Predicción 61.92%1.61momio equitativo
EV +0.313%
Ventaja +0.194%
Kelly +0.506%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%62.05%61.31%66.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.501.6270.92%65.95%66.67%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Nuno Borges (Visitante)
Predicción 38.08%2.63momio equitativo
EV +8.14%
Ventaja +2.87%
Kelly +4.42%
Crecimiento +0.360%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.80%37.95%38.69%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.452.8444.44%40.33%40.82%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 09:13 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 09:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 09:13 |
| BetUS | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 09:12 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 09:01 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 09:13 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.235%E -0.090%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 09:08 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 09:12 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.54%E -0.971%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.18%E -5.78%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| Caesars | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.313%E +0.194%K +0.506%G +0.002% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| ProphetX | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-04-17 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |
| Novig | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:14 |