مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hamad Medjedovic v Nuno Borges

البداية: 2026-04-17 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hamad Medjedovic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.92%1.61السعر العادل
EV +0.313%
الأفضلية +0.194%
Kelly +0.506%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.14%62.05%61.31%66.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.411.521.501.6270.92%65.95%66.67%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nuno Borges (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.08%2.63السعر العادل
EV +8.14%
الأفضلية +2.87%
Kelly +4.42%
النمو +0.360%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.84

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.80%37.95%38.69%41.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.482.452.8444.44%40.33%40.82%35.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-17 09:13
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.14%E +2.87%K +4.42%G +0.360%4.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV +7.00%E +2.49%K +3.87%G +0.271%2.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%5.3%2026-04-17 09:10
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%5.8%2026-04-17 09:10
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV +4.71%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.127%7.3%2026-04-17 09:13
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%4.6%2026-04-17 09:04
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +2.81%E +1.04%K +1.65%G +0.046%6.0%2026-04-17 09:12
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017%5.5%2026-04-17 09:04
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.12%EV -11.45%E -8.01%K -26.63%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.88%EV +1.67%E +0.625%K +0.999%G +0.017%7.4%2026-04-17 09:01
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%4.4%2026-04-17 09:13
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%5.3%2026-04-17 09:15
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV +0.907%E +0.342%K +0.550%G +0.005%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.235%E -0.090%K -0.145%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:14
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:08
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -12.69%E -9.00%K -30.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -0.997%E -0.383%K -0.623%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 09:12
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.97%E -6.11%K -19.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -2.90%E -1.14%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:04
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.66%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 09:14
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:15
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.65%K -17.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -4.80%E -1.92%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 09:10
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.71%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 09:14
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.74%E -5.19%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.61%E -3.59%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 09:14
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.37%E -3.94%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:14
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 09:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 09:14
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -4.64%E -3.01%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.52%E -4.48%K -7.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:14
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -11.66%E -5.03%K -8.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -0.925%E -0.578%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 09:14
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.54%E -0.971%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 09:14
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 09:14
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.26%E -3.44%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 09:14
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -5.88%E -3.87%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -12.42%E -5.40%K -9.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 09:14
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -13.18%E -5.78%K -10.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 09:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +0.313%E +0.194%K +0.506%G +0.002%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:14
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 09:14
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -7.12%E -4.74%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.32%E -6.37%K -11.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 09:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%0.5%2026-04-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-04-17 09:14
ProphetX1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-04-17 09:14
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-04-17 09:15
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-04-17 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%2.5%2026-04-17 09:14
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%6.4%2026-04-17 09:14