A Escola das Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Karen Khachanov

Início: 2026-04-14 12:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)

Previsão 38.68%2.59odd justa
EV +2.51%
Vantagem +0.949%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.37%38.70%38.37%42.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.452.452.6545.45%40.90%40.82%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Karen Khachanov (Visitante)

Previsão 61.32%1.63odd justa
EV +1.17%
Vantagem +0.709%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.14%61.30%61.63%64.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.541.531.6568.97%65.00%65.36%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +2.51%E +0.949%K +1.52%G +0.038%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 11:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 12:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:54
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:54
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 12:01
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 12:00
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:01
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 11:59
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 11:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 11:54
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 11:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 12:01
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:01
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:01
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:00
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.00%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 12:00
DraftKings2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -0.056%E -0.034%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 11:59
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:01
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.64%E -5.80%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 11:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 11:59
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 12:01
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -11.41%E -4.98%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:01
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.557%E +0.340%K +0.871%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-14 11:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:01
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 12:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +1.17%E +0.709%K +1.80%G +0.021%6.1%2026-04-14 12:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-04-14 12:01
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%3.9%2026-04-14 12:00