Langue:Français
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Karen Khachanov
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Prévision 38.68%2.59cote équitable
EV +2.51%
Avantage +0.949%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 2.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.37%38.70%38.37%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.452.452.6545.45%40.90%40.82%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.32%1.63cote équitable
EV +1.17%
Avantage +0.709%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%61.30%61.63%64.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.531.6568.97%65.00%65.36%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local) : 38.68% ; Karen Khachanov (Visiteur) : 61.32%. Pour Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.59. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.65, soit une espérance positive de +2.51%.
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +2.51%E +0.949%K +1.52%G +0.038% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.00%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -0.056%E -0.034%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.64%E -5.80%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -11.41%E -4.98%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.557%E +0.340%K +0.871%G +0.005% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +1.17%E +0.709%K +1.80%G +0.021% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |