Idioma:Español
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Karen Khachanov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Predicción 38.68%2.59momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.949%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.37%38.70%38.37%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.6545.45%40.90%40.82%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Karen Khachanov (Visitante)
Predicción 61.32%1.63momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.709%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%61.30%61.63%64.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.531.6568.97%65.00%65.36%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local): 38.68%; Karen Khachanov (Visitante): 61.32%. Para Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.65, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +2.51%E +0.949%K +1.52%G +0.038% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.00%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -0.056%E -0.034%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.64%E -5.80%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -11.41%E -4.98%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.557%E +0.340%K +0.871%G +0.005% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +1.17%E +0.709%K +1.80%G +0.021% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-14 12:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63% | 3.9% | 2026-04-14 12:00 |