Szkoła Kursów

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Karen Khachanov

Początek: 2026-04-14 12:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 38.68%2.59kurs godziwy
EV +2.51%
Przewaga +0.949%
Kelly +1.52%
Wzrost +0.038%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.37%38.70%38.37%42.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.452.452.6545.45%40.90%40.82%37.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Karen Khachanov (Goście)

Prognoza 61.32%1.63kurs godziwy
EV +1.17%
Przewaga +0.709%
Kelly +1.80%
Wzrost +0.021%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.65

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
57.14%61.30%61.63%64.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.451.541.531.6568.97%65.00%65.36%60.61%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +2.51%E +0.949%K +1.52%G +0.038%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 11:59
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 12:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:54
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:54
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 11:54
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.580%E +0.223%K +0.362%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 12:01
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 12:00
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -1.35%E -0.531%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.09%E -7.65%K -24.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:01
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -2.90%E -1.16%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 11:59
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.57%E -3.62%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 11:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 11:54
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 11:55
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 12:01
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:01
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:01
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.22%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:00
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -6.00%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 12:00
DraftKings2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.38%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -0.056%E -0.034%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 11:59
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 12:01
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:01
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.80%E -4.47%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.64%E -5.80%K -17.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.16%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 11:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.93%E -3.33%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 11:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.19%E -4.04%K -11.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 11:59
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -10.25%E -4.42%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 12:00
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.28%E -0.796%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.03%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 12:01
SportsBet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -11.41%E -4.98%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -3.12%E -1.98%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:01
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV +0.557%E +0.340%K +0.871%G +0.005%5.4%2026-04-14 11:59
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:01
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.96%E -5.76%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.73%E -2.38%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 12:00
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV +1.17%E +0.709%K +1.80%G +0.021%6.1%2026-04-14 12:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.669%E -0.413%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-04-14 12:01
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Novig2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-04-14 12:01
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%3.9%2026-04-14 12:00