Language:English
Alex de Minaur v Hamad Medjedovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Prediction 69.25%1.44fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -7.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.21%69.19%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.371.4076.92%73.08%72.99%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hamad Medjedovic (Visit)
Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -0.052%
Edge -0.016%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.79%30.81%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.053.2535.71%32.70%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alex de Minaur (Local): 69.25%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visit): 30.75%. For Hamad Medjedovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.252. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.250, with an expected value of -0.052%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -0.667%E -0.206%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.59%E -0.497%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.59%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -5.28%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 10:56 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 10:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.59%E -6.51%K -26.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.39%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.96%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.61%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.98%E -7.68%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.59%E -0.497%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.72% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 30.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |