Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur v Hamad Medjedovic

Início: 2026-04-15 11:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 69.25%1.44odd justa
EV -3.05%
Vantagem -2.18%
Kelly -7.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.67%69.21%69.19%71.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.371.371.4076.92%73.08%72.99%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante)

Previsão 30.75%3.25odd justa
EV -0.052%
Vantagem -0.016%
Kelly -0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.73%30.79%30.81%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.063.053.2535.71%32.70%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex de Minaur (Local): 69.25%; Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante): 30.75%. Para Hamad Medjedovic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.252. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.250, com valor esperado de -0.052%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -0.667%E -0.206%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 10:59
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.59%E -0.497%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 11:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.59%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -5.28%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 11:00
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 10:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 10:56
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 10:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:00
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.59%E -6.51%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.39%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.96%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.61%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.98%E -7.68%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.59%E -0.497%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 11:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.72%3.27I 30.58%NM 30.28%1.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-15 11:00
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-04-15 11:00