L’École des cotes

Alex de Minaur v Hamad Medjedovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 11:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 69.25%1.44cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -7.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.67%69.21%69.19%71.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4076.92%73.08%72.99%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hamad Medjedovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV -0.052%
Avantage -0.016%
Kelly -0.023%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.73%30.79%30.81%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.053.2535.71%32.70%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 69.76%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.24%EV -0.667%E -0.206%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-15 11:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 10:59
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -11.74%E -4.09%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:00
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.05%E -2.18%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.89%E -4.96%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -1.59%E -0.497%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-15 11:00
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -3.75%E -2.70%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -4.05%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 11:00
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.43%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -5.59%E -1.82%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.44%E -3.22%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -3.74%E -1.20%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -5.28%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 11:00
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.13%E -3.75%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.90%E -0.595%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 10:56
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-15 11:00
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
Codere (IT)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.74%E -2.58%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.82%E -4.28%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.82%E -3.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 10:58
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -6.20%E -2.03%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 11:00
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.52%E -4.83%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -9.28%E -3.15%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:00
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.90%E -5.94%K -23.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.59%E -6.51%K -26.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.66%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 11:00
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -0.052%E -0.016%K -0.023%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.39%EV -9.29%E -7.09%K -29.96%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.61%EV -8.66%E -2.92%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.98%E -7.68%K -33.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -1.59%E -0.497%K -0.722%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.72%3.27I 30.58%NM 30.28%1.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-04-15 11:00
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-04-15 11:00