Language:English
Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Sounders FC (Local)
Prediction 57.89%1.73fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.79%57.68%57.96%59.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.601.611.7067.57%62.63%62.11%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Salt Lake (Visit)
Prediction 18.55%5.39fair odd
EV +0.178%
Edge +0.033%
Kelly +0.040%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.73%18.68%18.53%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.925.005.4023.81%20.34%20.00%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.55%4.25fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.199%
Kelly -0.261%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%23.64%23.51%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.953.954.2128.57%25.34%25.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Sounders FC (Local): 57.89%; Real Salt Lake (Visit): 18.55%; Draw: 23.55%. For Real Salt Lake (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.178%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +0.178%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +0.178%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 01:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.68%E -0.316%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -0.838%E -0.199%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -1.68%E -0.316%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-12 13:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 12:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 08:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 01:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 01:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 01:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 10:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 10:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 01:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 01:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-03 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 13:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 07:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.42%E -7.46%K -21.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.56%E -5.02%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-12 02:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -12.58%E -8.33%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 19.54%EV -17.45%E -3.92%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-05 16:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.79%EV -13.16%E -8.77%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.70%EV -18.37%E -4.18%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-03 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 56.89%EV -14.32%E -9.67%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.05%EV -22.08%E -5.26%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.07%EV -14.03%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-03 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56% | 16.3% | 2026-04-03 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 48.09% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 17.80% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 34.11% | 29.2% | 2026-04-06 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 38.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 12.42% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 49.22% | 91.7% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 38.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 12.42% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 49.22% | 91.7% | 2026-04-12 17:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 37.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 12.25% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 49.94% | 94.4% | 2026-04-12 17:00 |