La escuela de los momios

Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake

Inicio: 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Predicción 57.89%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.79%57.68%57.96%59.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.601.611.7067.57%62.63%62.11%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Real Salt Lake (Visitante)

Predicción 18.55%5.39momio equitativo
EV +0.178%
Ventaja +0.033%
Kelly +0.040%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.73%18.68%18.53%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.925.005.4023.81%20.34%20.00%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.55%4.25momio equitativo
EV -0.838%
Ventaja -0.199%
Kelly -0.261%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%23.64%23.51%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.953.954.2128.57%25.34%25.32%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +0.178%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:04
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +0.178%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:04
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.68%E -0.316%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -0.838%E -0.199%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:09
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -1.68%E -0.316%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:45
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:45
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:44
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:44
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 01:05
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 15:24
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:44
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:44
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 13:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:45
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:54
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 08:44
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 22:05
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 01:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 01:05
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 08:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:45
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:45
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 01:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 01:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 10:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:49
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:49
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:04
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:05
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:44
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 07:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.42%E -7.46%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.56%E -5.02%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 02:51
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -12.58%E -8.33%K -24.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.54%EV -17.45%E -3.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 16:16
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.79%EV -13.16%E -8.77%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.70%EV -18.37%E -4.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-03 01:04
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.89%EV -14.32%E -9.67%K -29.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.05%EV -22.08%E -5.26%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.07%EV -14.03%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-03 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 57.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%16.3%2026-04-03 01:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 48.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 17.80%2.27I 44.05%NM 34.11%29.2%2026-04-06 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 38.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 12.42%1.06I 94.34%NM 49.22%91.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 38.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 12.42%1.06I 94.34%NM 49.22%91.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 37.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 12.25%1.03I 97.09%NM 49.94%94.4%2026-04-12 17:00