L’École des cotes

Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Seattle Sounders FC (Local)

Prévision 57.89%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.79%57.68%57.96%59.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.611.7067.57%62.63%62.11%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Salt Lake (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.55%5.39cote équitable
EV +0.178%
Avantage +0.033%
Kelly +0.040%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.73%18.68%18.53%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.925.005.4023.81%20.34%20.00%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.55%4.25cote équitable
EV -0.838%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.261%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.51%23.64%23.51%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.953.954.2128.57%25.34%25.32%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +0.178%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:04
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 58.03%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.73%EV +0.178%E +0.033%K +0.040%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 01:04
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.71%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.28%EV -1.68%E -0.316%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.01%EV -0.838%E -0.199%K -0.261%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 01:09
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -1.68%E -0.316%K -0.390%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:45
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:45
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:44
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.26%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.89%EV -1.07%E -0.256%K -0.336%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 13:44
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 58.84%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -5.39%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 01:05
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.89%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.46%EV -6.32%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.20%E -1.83%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 15:24
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:44
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:44
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 13:45
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.43%E -0.836%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 13:05
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:45
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 13:45
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:54
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -7.95%E -5.00%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 08:44
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 22:05
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 01:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.37%E -4.61%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 01:05
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.24%E -1.45%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 08:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.38%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 13:45
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 13:45
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.68%E -6.21%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -9.10%E -1.86%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -6.96%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 01:05
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.78%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 01:15
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.21%E -3.83%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 10:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:49
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.67%EV -6.79%E -4.22%K -11.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.67%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 10:49
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:04
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -9.11%E -5.80%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 01:05
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.13%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.77%EV -10.95%E -2.28%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -8.14%E -2.09%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 13:44
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -11.88%E -2.50%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 07:44
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -1.58%E -0.929%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.42%E -7.46%K -21.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -16.52%E -3.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -17.56%E -5.02%K -7.02%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 02:51
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.58%EV -12.58%E -8.33%K -24.66%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.54%EV -17.45%E -3.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.50%E -2.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 16:16
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.79%EV -13.16%E -8.77%K -26.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.70%EV -18.37%E -4.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.51%EV -9.32%E -2.42%K -3.27%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-03 01:04
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.89%EV -14.32%E -9.67%K -29.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.05%EV -22.08%E -5.26%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.07%EV -14.03%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-03 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 57.33%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.11%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%16.3%2026-04-03 01:05
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 48.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 17.80%2.27I 44.05%NM 34.11%29.2%2026-04-06 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 38.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 12.42%1.06I 94.34%NM 49.22%91.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 38.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 12.42%1.06I 94.34%NM 49.22%91.7%2026-04-12 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 37.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 12.25%1.03I 97.09%NM 49.94%94.4%2026-04-12 17:00