The School of Odds

Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders FC

2026-08-02 02:30 UTC — MLS

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prediction 39.79%2.51fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.99%39.71%39.93%40.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.332.352.4547.62%42.85%42.55%40.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Seattle Sounders FC (Visit)

Prediction 35.59%2.81fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.58%35.70%35.38%37.04%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.592.7442.55%39.03%38.54%36.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.62%4.06fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.513%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.65%24.59%24.69%25.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.96%27.03%25.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -2.51%E -1.02%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 02:54
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -4.61%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 08:06
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -4.61%E -1.72%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 08:04
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.22%EV -4.10%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.37%EV -2.48%E -0.905%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV -2.28%E -0.574%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 08:00
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.36%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 02:54
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 02:55
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -4.00%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 03:15
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 02:54
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -4.50%E -1.87%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 03:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 02:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 03:00
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -5.29%E -2.22%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 02:55
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -5.69%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.14%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.67%EV -4.99%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:10
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.69%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.09%EV -5.69%E -2.40%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 02:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 08:06
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.68%E -2.14%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.54%E -0.385%K -0.513%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 08:05
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -6.49%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -11.02%E -4.41%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 02:55
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.57%EV -6.88%E -2.94%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.07%EV -6.04%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 08:09
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -7.68%E -3.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.35%EV -6.04%E -2.29%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.97%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 07:56
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 08:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -7.46%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 07:58
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:01
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.57%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.14%EV -7.82%E -3.02%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:04
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -9.24%E -3.62%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 08:06
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.48%E -3.68%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 03:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -6.75%E -2.58%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.39%E -3.16%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 08:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -10.47%E -4.65%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -14.58%E -6.08%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -7.69%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 06:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.45%E -5.66%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -12.80%E -5.22%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.62%E -3.55%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 08:05
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.19%EV -13.25%E -6.08%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.63%EV -9.95%E -3.93%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -14.34%E -4.12%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 08:03
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.82%EV -16.43%E -7.83%K -14.94%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -16.36%E -6.96%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.60%EV -16.31%E -4.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-26 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.57%2.64I 37.88%NM 33.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%11.8%2026-07-26 08:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.57%2.64I 37.88%NM 33.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%11.8%2026-07-26 08:00
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 36.04%1.66I 60.24%NM 42.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 21.85%43.0%2026-07-26 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 25.35%1.04I 96.15%NM 56.55%3.25I 30.77%NM 18.10%70.0%2026-07-26 08:00