L’École des cotes

Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders FC

2026-08-02 02:30 UTC — MLS

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prévision 40.10%2.49cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.11%40.09%40.11%40.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4247.62%43.43%43.48%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Sounders FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.26%2.84cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.58%35.28%35.23%35.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.602.622.7442.55%38.43%38.17%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.64%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.42%
Avantage -0.355%
Kelly -0.474%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%24.63%24.66%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.90%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -5.51%E -2.06%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 08:06
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -5.51%E -2.06%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 08:04
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.22%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.37%EV -3.39%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV -2.16%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 08:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:55
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -4.10%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:46
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -4.10%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:45
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.14%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.67%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.42%E -0.355%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 08:06
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.42%E -0.355%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 08:05
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.89%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:55
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.89%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 09:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:54
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.57%EV -6.17%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.07%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 08:09
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.97%E -3.01%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.35%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.86%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 07:56
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.89%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 09:01
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.35%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 09:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 08:55
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 08:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 07:58
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 09:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:01
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.57%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.14%EV -8.68%E -3.35%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 08:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 08:56
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 08:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -13.62%E -5.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.51%E -3.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 08:05
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.19%EV -12.59%E -5.77%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.63%EV -10.80%E -4.27%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -14.24%E -4.09%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 08:03
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.82%EV -15.80%E -7.52%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.14%E -7.30%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.60%EV -16.21%E -4.77%K -6.75%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-26 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%10.6%2026-07-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%10.6%2026-07-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%10.6%2026-07-26 09:00
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 36.83%1.75I 57.14%NM 40.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 22.33%39.9%2026-07-26 09:05