La escuela de los momios

Portland Timbers v Seattle Sounders FC

2026-08-02 02:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Portland Timbers (Local)

Predicción 40.10%2.49momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.11%40.09%40.11%40.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4247.62%43.43%43.48%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Sounders FC (Visitante)

Predicción 35.26%2.84momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.58%35.28%35.23%35.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.602.622.7442.55%38.43%38.17%36.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.64%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.355%
Kelly -0.474%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.74%24.63%24.66%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.723.704.0029.41%26.90%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -5.51%E -2.06%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 08:06
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -2.96%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -5.51%E -2.06%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 08:04
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.22%EV -3.37%E -1.40%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.37%EV -3.39%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.41%EV -2.16%E -0.544%K -0.728%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 08:00
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -3.77%E -1.57%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.81%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 08:55
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -4.10%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:46
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.04%EV -4.10%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -5.12%E -1.33%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 08:45
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.18%EV -4.97%E -2.10%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.14%EV -4.45%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.67%EV -4.87%E -1.26%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.42%E -0.355%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 08:06
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -1.42%E -0.355%K -0.474%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 08:05
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.89%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 08:55
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -3.89%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 09:00
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -5.77%E -2.46%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 08:54
MyBookie.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.57%EV -6.17%E -2.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.07%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 08:09
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -6.97%E -3.01%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.35%EV -6.92%E -2.62%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -5.86%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 07:56
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.89%E -0.996%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 09:01
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.35%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 09:00
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 08:55
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 08:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -8.82%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 07:58
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -8.33%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -10.05%E -2.75%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 09:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.76%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -10.09%E -3.96%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:55
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 08:01
ReBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.57%EV -7.78%E -3.38%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.14%EV -8.68%E -3.35%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 08:04
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -7.62%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 08:35
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:50
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -9.78%E -4.35%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 08:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -7.58%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 08:56
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -11.86%E -4.74%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.28%E -3.13%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 08:55
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -11.79%E -5.36%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.67%EV -13.62%E -5.56%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.51%E -3.52%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 08:05
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.19%EV -12.59%E -5.77%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 34.63%EV -10.80%E -4.27%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.18%EV -14.24%E -4.09%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-26 08:03
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.82%EV -15.80%E -7.52%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -17.14%E -7.30%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.60%EV -16.21%E -4.77%K -6.75%G +0.000%19.6%2026-07-26 08:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%10.6%2026-07-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%10.6%2026-07-26 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%10.6%2026-07-26 09:00
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 36.83%1.75I 57.14%NM 40.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 22.33%39.9%2026-07-26 09:05