Language:English
Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Timbers (Local)
Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.18%47.68%47.75%49.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.0354.05%51.06%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta United FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.31%3.53fair odd
EV +0.486%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.191%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%28.31%28.22%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.073.293.253.5532.57%30.39%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.473%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%24.01%24.03%25.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.863.904.1027.78%25.88%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Timbers (Local): 47.66%; Atlanta United FC (Visit): 28.31%; Draw: 24.03%. For Atlanta United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.486%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.97%EV -6.58%E -3.36%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV +0.486%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 02:21 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.65%EV -3.25%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -2.34%E -0.680%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.31%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.15%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -2.34%E -0.680%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.55%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -5.55%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -7.23%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 02:21 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 02:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 02:21 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.67%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -6.02%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -4.20%E -2.09%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.01%E -4.15%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 02:17 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 02:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -3.25%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -8.86%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 02:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 02:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 02:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-19 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.15%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 02:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 02:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.13%EV -13.10%E -4.27%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.30%EV -11.56%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 02:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 02:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 02:25 |