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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC

Início: 2026-09-20 02:40 UTC

Final: Portland Timbers 0–1 Atlanta United FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Previsão 47.66%2.10odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -3.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.18%47.68%47.75%49.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.961.952.0354.05%51.06%51.28%49.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta United FC (Visitante)

Previsão 28.31%3.53odd justa
EV +0.486%
Vantagem +0.137%
Kelly +0.191%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.04%28.31%28.22%29.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.073.293.253.5532.57%30.39%30.77%28.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.03%4.16odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.357%
Kelly -0.473%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.86%24.01%24.03%25.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.863.904.1027.78%25.88%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Timbers (Local): 47.66%; Atlanta United FC (Visitante): 28.31%; Empate: 24.03%. Para Atlanta United FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.55, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.486%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.97%EV -6.58%E -3.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV +0.486%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 02:21
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.65%EV -3.25%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -2.34%E -0.680%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.31%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.15%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -2.34%E -0.680%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:20
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:20
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:19
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.55%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -5.55%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 02:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 02:15
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -7.23%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 02:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 02:13
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 02:20
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 02:20
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 02:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.67%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -6.02%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 02:24
Coolbet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -4.20%E -2.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 02:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 02:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 02:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 02:20
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.01%E -4.15%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 02:17
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 02:15
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -3.25%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -8.86%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 02:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 02:18
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 02:18
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 02:19
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 02:24
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 02:19
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 02:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 02:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.15%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 02:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 02:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.13%EV -13.10%E -4.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.30%EV -11.56%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 02:17
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:05
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:15
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.0%2026-09-20 02:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-09-20 02:25