L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Portland Timbers v Atlanta United FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 02:40 UTC

Score final : Portland Timbers 0–1 Atlanta United FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Portland Timbers (Local)

Prévision 47.66%2.10cote équitable
EV -3.25%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -3.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.18%47.68%47.75%49.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.961.952.0354.05%51.06%51.28%49.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta United FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV +0.486%
Avantage +0.137%
Kelly +0.191%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.04%28.31%28.22%29.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.073.293.253.5532.57%30.39%30.77%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.03%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.357%
Kelly -0.473%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.86%24.01%24.03%25.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.863.904.1027.78%25.88%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Portland Timbers (Local) : 47.66% ; Atlanta United FC (Visiteur) : 28.31% ; Match nul : 24.03%. Pour Atlanta United FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.53. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.55, soit une espérance positive de +0.486%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.97%EV -6.58%E -3.36%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.04%EV +0.486%E +0.137%K +0.191%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 02:21
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.65%EV -3.25%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -2.34%E -0.680%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.31%EV -4.35%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 02:20
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.15%E -2.59%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -2.34%E -0.680%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-20 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:20
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:20
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.33%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -2.63%E -0.764%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 02:19
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.55%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.00%EV -2.91%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.44%EV -5.55%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 02:25
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-20 02:15
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -7.23%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 02:20
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 02:05
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.61%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 02:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -11.83%E -6.39%K -13.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 02:13
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 02:20
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.00%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 02:20
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.50%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.43%EV -7.47%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 02:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.38%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.18%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 02:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.67%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.00%EV -6.02%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.33%EV -8.19%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 02:24
Coolbet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -4.20%E -2.09%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 02:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 02:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -1.47%E -0.357%K -0.473%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 02:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 02:20
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.02%EV -8.01%E -4.15%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 02:17
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 02:15
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 02:19
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.49%EV -3.25%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.31%EV -8.86%E -2.75%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 02:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 02:18
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 02:18
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 02:19
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 02:24
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -4.68%E -2.34%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 02:19
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 02:05
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.79%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:15
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -8.97%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 02:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.84%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -3.87%E -0.967%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 02:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.15%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -6.27%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 02:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -11.08%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 02:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.57%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.13%EV -13.10%E -4.27%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.30%EV -11.56%E -3.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 02:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:05
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-09-20 02:15
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%2.0%2026-09-20 02:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%2.0%2026-09-20 02:25