Language:English
New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New England Revolution (Local)
Prediction 38.22%2.62fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.22%38.31%38.20%39.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.432.422.5646.51%41.23%41.24%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Dynamo (Visit)
Prediction 34.50%2.90fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.964%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.17%34.45%34.45%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.712.732.8240.82%36.95%36.70%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.494%
Kelly -0.685%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%27.23%27.35%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.36%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New England Revolution (Local): 38.22%; Houston Dynamo (Visit): 34.50%; Draw: 27.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.78%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -2.16%E -0.843%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.42%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-02 15:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.19%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.49%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 01:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -2.72%E -0.964%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -2.72%E -0.964%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 07:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 02:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.20%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 06:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.78%E -0.494%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.78%E -0.494%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-02 12:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-02 12:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-05 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 03:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-02 12:52 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 02:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 14:11 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-01 13:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-03 02:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-02 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 02:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 05:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-01 05:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.27%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 19:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-01 16:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-02 12:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-02 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-02 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.10%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.15%E -6.05%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-01 16:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.22%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.42%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.35%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-03-05 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05% | 4.1% | 2026-03-05 19:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.36% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94% | 56.1% | 2026-03-06 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94% | 56.1% | 2026-03-06 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94% | 56.1% | 2026-03-06 12:00 |