L’École des cotes

New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New England Revolution (Local)

Prévision 38.22%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.22%38.31%38.20%39.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.432.422.5646.51%41.23%41.24%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Dynamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.50%2.90cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.964%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.17%34.45%34.45%34.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.712.732.8240.82%36.95%36.70%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.28%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.494%
Kelly -0.685%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.25%27.23%27.35%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.36%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -2.16%E -0.843%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.42%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 15:53
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.19%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.49%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:40
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:15
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:15
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -2.72%E -0.964%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -2.72%E -0.964%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:40
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 07:40
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 02:45
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.20%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 06:00
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.78%E -0.494%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 15:00
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 14:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.78%E -0.494%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 12:54
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 12:54
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 19:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 03:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 12:52
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 02:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 14:11
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:04
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 02:40
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 15:00
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 02:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 02:49
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 05:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 05:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.27%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 16:43
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-02 12:55
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 11:10
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-02 15:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-02 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.10%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.15%E -6.05%K -9.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-01 16:44
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.22%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.42%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.35%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-05 19:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%4.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 37.36%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%7.1%2026-03-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94%56.1%2026-03-06 12:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94%56.1%2026-03-06 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94%56.1%2026-03-06 12:00