La escuela de los momios

New England Revolution v Houston Dynamo

Inicio: 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New England Revolution (Local)

Predicción 38.22%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.843%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.31%38.20%39.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.432.422.5646.51%41.23%41.24%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Dynamo (Visitante)

Predicción 34.50%2.90momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.964%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.17%34.45%34.45%34.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.712.732.8240.82%36.95%36.70%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.28%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.494%
Kelly -0.685%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.25%27.23%27.35%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.36%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.92%EV -2.16%E -0.843%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.42%EV -3.42%E -0.965%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.25%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-02 14:59
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 15:53
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.19%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.49%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:40
LowVig.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:15
BetOnline.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 38.25%EV -4.83%E -1.94%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -3.75%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.61%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 01:15
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -2.72%E -0.964%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:40
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.49%EV -5.22%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.85%EV -2.72%E -0.964%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:40
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 07:40
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.20%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.17%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 02:45
Marathon Bet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -5.98%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.67%EV -7.20%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 06:00
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.89%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.47%EV -1.78%E -0.494%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 14:59
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 15:05
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 15:00
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 14:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -1.78%E -0.494%K -0.685%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 12:54
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.13%E -1.87%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-02 12:54
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 19:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 03:55
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-02 12:52
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -3.41%E -1.22%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 02:40
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 14:11
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 13:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 19:04
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.86%E -2.54%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-03 02:40
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-02 15:00
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 02:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 02:49
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 05:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 05:00
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.39%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.74%EV -9.27%E -3.53%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 19:30
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.62%E -3.67%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 16:43
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.04%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-02 12:55
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.58%E -3.24%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.60%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 11:10
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-02 15:00
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.31%E -3.96%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.96%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-02 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -12.10%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -13.76%E -5.50%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.15%E -6.05%K -9.07%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-01 16:44
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.22%EV -17.83%E -8.29%K -15.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.42%EV -15.48%E -6.32%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.35%EV -12.69%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-05 19:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%4.1%2026-03-05 19:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 37.36%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%7.1%2026-03-06 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94%56.1%2026-03-06 12:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94%56.1%2026-03-06 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 50.45%2.32I 43.10%NM 27.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 21.94%56.1%2026-03-06 12:00