Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.58
assuming max odds 6.74
assuming max odds 4.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Fire (Local): 62.09%; Atlanta United FC (Visit): 16.07%; Draw: 21.84%. For Atlanta United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.22. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.32%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.03%EV +8.32%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.120% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV -1.17%E -0.190%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV -1.17%E -0.190%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.16%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.72%EV -2.77%E -0.458%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 00:32 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 00:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.97%E -6.88%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -1.71%E -0.380%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 00:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.97%E -6.88%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.59%E -7.36%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.83%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.32%EV -4.70%E -0.793%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.35%E +0.290%K +0.370%G +0.005% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.18%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.18%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.79%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -3.14%E -2.02%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-12 00:37 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.473%E +0.103%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -10.00%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -10.00%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -14.82%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 00:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.62%EV -3.14%E -2.02%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.29%EV -12.09%E -2.21%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.09%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -14.83%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.94%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.40%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -9.35%E -6.41%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -10.59%E -7.36%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -18.04%E -3.54%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-12 00:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-12 00:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-12 00:36 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -21.25%E -4.34%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -9.35%E -6.41%K -20.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -21.25%E -4.34%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-12 00:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.13% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.81% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 2.1% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69% | 2.5% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.89% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.86% | 4.9% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.08% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77% | 7.1% | 2026-04-12 00:40 |