La escuela de los momios

Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC

Inicio: 2026-04-12 00:45 UTC

Final: Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Fire (Local)

Predicción 62.09%1.61momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -3.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.55%62.05%62.18%63.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.03%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Atlanta United FC (Visitante)

Predicción 16.07%6.22momio equitativo
EV +8.32%
Ventaja +1.23%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.120%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.03%16.12%15.96%18.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.635.606.7420.41%17.76%17.86%14.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.84%4.58momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.290%
Kelly +0.370%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%21.82%21.86%23.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.234.204.6425.64%23.65%23.81%21.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.29%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.03%EV +8.32%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.120%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:39
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV -1.17%E -0.190%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV -1.17%E -0.190%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:40
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.16%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.72%EV -2.77%E -0.458%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:32
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:38
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.97%E -6.88%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -1.71%E -0.380%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 00:38
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.97%E -6.88%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:30
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.59%E -7.36%K -24.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 00:39
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.83%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.32%EV -4.70%E -0.793%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.35%E +0.290%K +0.370%G +0.005%3.4%2026-04-12 00:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.18%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:33
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.18%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:33
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.79%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -3.14%E -2.02%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:37
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.473%E +0.103%K +0.131%G +0.001%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 00:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -10.00%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -10.00%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:39
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:39
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:29
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -14.82%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:34
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.62%EV -3.14%E -2.02%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.29%EV -12.09%E -2.21%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.09%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:39
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -14.83%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:39
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.94%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.40%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -9.35%E -6.41%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -10.59%E -7.36%K -24.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -18.04%E -3.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 00:36
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 00:34
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 00:36
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -21.25%E -4.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -9.35%E -6.41%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -21.25%E -4.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.13%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.81%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.1%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 61.89%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.86%4.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 63.08%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%7.1%2026-04-12 00:40