La scuola delle quote

Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC

Inizio: 2026-04-12 00:45 UTC

Finale: Chicago Fire 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Chicago Fire (Casa)

Previsione 62.09%1.61quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -3.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.55%62.05%62.18%63.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.501.5869.44%66.03%66.67%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atlanta United FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.07%6.22quota equa
EV +8.32%
Vantaggio +1.23%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.120%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.03%16.12%15.96%18.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.905.635.606.7420.41%17.76%17.86%14.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.84%4.58quota equa
EV +1.35%
Vantaggio +0.290%
Kelly +0.370%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.55%21.82%21.86%23.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.234.204.6425.64%23.65%23.81%21.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 63.46%EV -7.49%E -5.03%K -15.29%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.03%EV +8.32%E +1.23%K +1.45%G +0.120%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 00:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 00:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.46%E +0.686%K +0.811%G +0.036%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:39
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV -1.17%E -0.190%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.72%EV -1.17%E -0.190%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.53%EV -1.93%E -0.430%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 00:40
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 62.16%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.72%EV -2.77%E -0.458%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 00:32
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.01%E -3.27%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 00:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 00:38
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.97%E -6.88%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -1.71%E -0.380%K -0.489%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 00:38
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.97%E -6.88%K -22.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:30
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.59%E -7.36%K -24.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.58%E -0.596%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 00:39
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.83%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.32%EV -4.70%E -0.793%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.85%EV +1.35%E +0.290%K +0.370%G +0.005%3.4%2026-04-12 00:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.18%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:33
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -1.90%E -1.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -5.18%E -0.879%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.09%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:33
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.14%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.93%EV -5.99%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 00:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -6.79%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.66%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:29
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -3.14%E -2.02%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 00:37
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.473%E +0.103%K +0.131%G +0.001%5.8%2026-04-12 00:40
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.81%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 00:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.59%E -1.32%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -10.00%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.08%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.12%EV -10.00%E -1.79%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:39
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 00:39
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -5.63%E -3.70%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 00:29
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 00:40
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.61%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -14.82%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 00:34
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 60.62%EV -3.14%E -2.02%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.29%EV -12.09%E -2.21%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.09%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -3.76%E -2.43%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 00:39
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -4.39%E -2.85%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -13.22%E -2.45%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 00:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 60.97%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.26%EV -14.83%E -2.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 00:40
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -6.25%E -4.14%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 00:29
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 00:39
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.63%E -2.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 00:35
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.56%EV -8.73%E -5.94%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.40%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -8.11%E -5.48%K -16.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.25%EV -9.35%E -6.41%K -20.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.20%EV -16.43%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.55%EV -9.36%E -2.25%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-12 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -10.59%E -7.36%K -24.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -18.04%E -3.54%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 00:36
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 00:34
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.65%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 00:36
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -6.87%E -4.58%K -13.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -21.25%E -4.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -3.90%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 00:39
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.46%EV -9.35%E -6.41%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.01%EV -21.25%E -4.34%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 00:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.13%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.81%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%2.1%2026-04-12 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-12 00:40
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.87%3.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 61.89%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.86%4.9%2026-04-12 00:40
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 63.08%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%7.1%2026-04-12 00:40