Language:English
CF Montreal v Chicago Fire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
CF Montreal (Local)
Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.24%33.54%33.73%35.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.772.9438.46%36.24%36.04%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Fire (Visit)
Prediction 40.33%2.48fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.987%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.84%40.44%40.32%42.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.292.302.4245.87%43.59%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.01%3.84fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.600%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%26.02%25.95%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.573.603.7833.33%28.01%27.78%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: CF Montreal (Local): 33.65%; Chicago Fire (Visit): 40.33%; Draw: 26.01%. For CF Montreal (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.94, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%EV -1.07%E -0.363%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.68%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -2.41%E -0.832%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -6.02%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -2.41%E -0.832%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -6.02%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.41%E -0.832%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -3.76%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.28%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV -2.97%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -2.39%E -0.987%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 20:28 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -2.39%E -0.987%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -3.23%E -0.868%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.43%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -5.10%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -5.62%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.74%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 20:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 20:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -10.82%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -21.96%E -7.32%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.08%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.04%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 20:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 20:35 |