L’École des cotes

CF Montreal v Chicago Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 20:36 UTC

Score final : CF Montreal 0–2 Chicago Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

CF Montreal (Local)

Prévision 33.65%2.97cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.363%
Kelly -0.549%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%33.54%33.73%35.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.762.772.9438.46%36.24%36.04%34.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.33%2.48cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.84%40.44%40.32%42.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.292.302.4245.87%43.59%43.48%41.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.01%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.441%
Kelly -0.600%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.55%26.02%25.95%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.7833.33%28.01%27.78%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%EV -1.07%E -0.363%K -0.549%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.31%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.68%EV -1.67%E -0.441%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-16 20:29
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -2.41%E -0.832%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -6.02%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:35
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -2.41%E -0.832%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.24%EV -6.02%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:35
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.41%E -0.832%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:30
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -3.76%E -1.31%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.28%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.92%EV -2.97%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 20:35
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.04%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.09%EV -2.39%E -0.987%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 20:28
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.97%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -2.39%E -0.987%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -3.23%E -0.868%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 20:29
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 20:29
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 20:35
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 20:35
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 20:35
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 20:29
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:35
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:35
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:35
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 20:35
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -4.09%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.75%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.43%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 20:29
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -5.10%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.59%EV -5.62%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.74%EV -4.01%E -1.09%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 20:35
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -5.10%E -1.81%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -8.04%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 20:35
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:34
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 20:34
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -5.78%E -2.06%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 20:35
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 20:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:35
MyBookie.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 20:35
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.46%E -2.71%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 20:29
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -3.20%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 20:35
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.35%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 20:35
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 20:29
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 20:29
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 20:29
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 20:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.14%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.15%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 20:35
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -10.82%E -4.08%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 20:29
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 20:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -11.50%E -4.37%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -21.96%E -7.32%K -10.98%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-16 20:35
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.08%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.04%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 20:29
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.83%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 20:35
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -2.45%E -0.653%K -0.890%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 20:29
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 20:29
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.25%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 20:28
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.19%EV -12.51%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-05-16 20:35
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.1%2026-05-16 20:35