The School of Odds
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Ukraine v Georgia

2026-11-17 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ukraine (Local)

Prediction 43.79%2.28fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.28%43.70%43.78%44.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.1950.00%46.93%46.51%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia (Visit)

Prediction 28.63%3.49fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%28.66%28.65%29.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.4433.33%30.97%30.77%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.59%3.62fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.47%27.64%27.57%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.5232.79%30.21%30.30%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ukraine (Local): 43.79%; Georgia (Visit): 28.63%; Draw: 27.59%. For Georgia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.44, with an expected value of -1.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.11%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -1.52%E -0.443%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.89%E -0.822%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-13 19:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-13 15:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:29
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 15:14
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 01:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-13 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-13 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.57%EV -7.61%E -3.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.91%EV -8.97%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.52%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 15:15
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.50%EV -8.49%E -4.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.95%EV -10.11%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.24%E -4.99%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -11.11%E -5.47%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -9.79%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-13 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-13 23:59
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-13 23:03
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-13 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35