L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Ukraine v Georgia

2026-11-17 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ukraine (Local)

Prévision 43.79%2.28cote équitable
EV -4.11%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -3.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.28%43.70%43.78%44.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.152.1950.00%46.93%46.51%45.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Georgia (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.63%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -0.624%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%28.66%28.65%29.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.233.253.4433.33%31.00%30.77%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.59%3.62cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -0.822%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.47%27.64%27.57%28.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.313.303.5232.79%30.21%30.30%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ukraine (Local) : 43.79% ; Georgia (Visiteur) : 28.63% ; Match nul : 27.59%. Pour Georgia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.49. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.44, pour une espérance de -1.52% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.11%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -1.52%E -0.443%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.89%E -0.822%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-13 19:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-13 15:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:29
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 15:14
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 01:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-13 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-13 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.57%EV -7.61%E -3.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.91%EV -8.97%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.52%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 15:15
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.50%EV -8.49%E -4.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.95%EV -10.11%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.24%E -4.99%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -11.11%E -5.47%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -9.79%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-13 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-13 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-13 15:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-14 01:28
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35