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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Ukraine v Georgia

2026-11-17 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ukraine (主队)

预测 43.79%2.28公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -3.45%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布
42.28%43.70%43.78%44.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.132.152.1950.00%46.93%46.51%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

Georgia (客队)

预测 28.63%3.49公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.443%
Kelly -0.624%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.44

博彩公司预测分布
27.69%28.66%28.65%29.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.233.253.4433.33%31.00%30.77%29.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.59%3.62公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -0.822%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.52

博彩公司预测分布
26.47%27.64%27.57%28.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.313.303.5232.79%30.21%30.30%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Ukraine (主队)：43.79%；Georgia (客队)：28.63%；平局：27.59%。 对于“Georgia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.49。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.44，期望值为-1.52%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -4.11%E -1.88%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.18%EV -1.52%E -0.443%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.89%E -0.822%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-13 19:45
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -4.55%E -2.09%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-13 15:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.21%EV -4.98%E -2.30%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.57%EV -4.00%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-13 15:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.53%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 17:29
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.67%E -0.785%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-13 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-13 15:14
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-14 01:10
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-13 15:15
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -5.86%E -2.73%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 17:30
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.17%E -3.38%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-13 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.57%EV -7.61%E -3.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.91%EV -8.97%E -2.82%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.52%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-13 15:16
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.82%E -3.12%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.45%E -0.985%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-13 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.21%E -1.83%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.96%E -2.14%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.34%E -3.18%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-13 15:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.05%E -3.83%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.39%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.72%E -3.66%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 15:15
ReBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.50%EV -8.49%E -4.06%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 28.95%EV -10.11%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-13 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -10.24%E -4.99%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.69%E -4.16%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -15.86%E -5.20%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-13 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -11.11%E -5.47%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -9.79%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-13 15:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.26%E -3.63%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-13 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-13 15:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -12.43%E -6.21%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -14.12%E -4.71%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.72%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-14 01:28
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.13I 88.50%NM 33.53%1.15I 86.96%NM 32.94%163.9%2026-11-13 23:35