语言:简体中文
Turkey v Italy
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Turkey (主队)
预测 32.88%3.04公平赔率
EV -0.691%
优势 -0.229%
Kelly -0.342%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.02
博彩公司预测分布
31.99%33.03%32.71%34.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.792.803.0238.02%35.78%35.71%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
Italy (客队)
预测 39.37%2.54公平赔率
EV +2.36%
优势 +0.907%
Kelly +1.47%
增长率 +0.035%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
37.05%39.27%39.58%40.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.432.422.6043.48%41.20%41.32%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.75%3.60公平赔率
EV -0.108%
优势 -0.030%
Kelly -0.042%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.42%27.69%27.71%28.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.69%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Turkey (主队)：32.88%；Italy (客队)：39.37%；平局：27.75%。 对于“Italy (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.54。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.60，对应+2.36%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.34%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.46%EV -0.398%E -0.157%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 17:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -0.691%E -0.229%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.59%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -3.98%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-28 18:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -13.52%E -5.14%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -13.52%E -5.14%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -0.108%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -2.01%E -0.673%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.33%E -0.661%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.108%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-28 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.87%EV -7.09%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-28 18:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |