Langue:Français
Turkey v Italy
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Turkey (Local)
Prévision 32.88%3.04cote équitable
EV -0.691%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.342%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.99%33.03%32.71%34.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.792.803.0238.02%35.78%35.71%33.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Italy (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.37%2.54cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.907%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.035%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%39.27%39.58%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.422.6043.48%41.20%41.32%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.75%3.60cote équitable
EV -0.108%
Avantage -0.030%
Kelly -0.042%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.69%27.71%28.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.69%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Turkey (Local) : 32.88% ; Italy (Visiteur) : 39.37% ; Match nul : 27.75%. Pour Italy (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.54. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.60, soit une espérance positive de +2.36%.
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.34%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.46%EV -0.398%E -0.157%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-28 17:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -0.691%E -0.229%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.59%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -3.98%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-28 18:38 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -13.52%E -5.14%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -13.52%E -5.14%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -0.108%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -2.01%E -0.673%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.33%E -0.661%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.108%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-28 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.87%EV -7.09%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-28 18:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-28 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-09-28 18:35 |