StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Turkey v Italy

Matchstart: 2026-09-28 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Turkey 1–4 Italy

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

39 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Turkey (Hemma)

Prognos 32.88%3.04rättvist odds
EV -0.691%
Fördel -0.229%
Kelly -0.342%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.99%33.03%32.71%34.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.792.803.0238.02%35.78%35.71%33.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Italy (Borta)

Prognos 39.37%2.54rättvist odds
EV +2.36%
Fördel +0.907%
Kelly +1.47%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.05%39.27%39.58%40.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.432.422.6043.48%41.20%41.32%38.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.75%3.60rättvist odds
EV -0.108%
Fördel -0.030%
Kelly -0.042%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.42%27.69%27.71%28.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.373.403.6031.25%29.69%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Turkey (Hemma): 32.88%; Italy (Borta): 39.37%; Oavgjort: 27.75%. För Italy (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.54. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.60, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.36%.

Spelbolagsodds (39 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-28 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-28 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV +2.36%E +0.907%K +1.47%G +0.035%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.10%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-28 18:25
Suprabets🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.34%EV -9.24%E -3.35%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.46%EV -0.398%E -0.157%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-28 17:56
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-28 18:30
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-28 18:25
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -1.58%E -0.631%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-28 18:25
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-28 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-28 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.05%EV -2.37%E -0.954%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-28 18:25
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.55%EV -7.27%E -2.58%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.62%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-28 18:35
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -3.55%E -1.45%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-28 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.99%EV -0.691%E -0.229%K -0.342%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.59%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-28 18:20
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -3.98%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -3.94%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -3.99%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-28 18:38
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -13.52%E -5.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-28 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -13.52%E -5.14%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.27%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-28 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.03%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.91%EV -0.108%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-28 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.49%EV -2.01%E -0.673%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.01%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.50%EV -2.33%E -0.661%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-28 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.108%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-28 18:40
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-28 18:40
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-28 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 18:25
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 18:25
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-28 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-28 18:39
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.29%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-28 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.87%EV -11.21%E -4.15%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.42%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-28 18:25
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.87%EV -7.09%E -3.00%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.68%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-28 18:39
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -6.28%E -2.20%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-28 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.44%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-28 18:25
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-28 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -12.86%E -4.85%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-28 18:33
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.64%E -1.60%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-28 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.57%E -3.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-28 18:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.93%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-28 18:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08%0.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08%0.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08%0.3%2026-09-28 18:35