預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sweden v Romania

開賽時間: 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC

最終賽果: Sweden 2–1 Romania

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

29 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Sweden (主隊)

預測 65.79%1.52公平賠率
EV -2.62%
優勢 -1.77%
Kelly -5.47%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.48

博彩公司預測分布
64.31%65.71%65.93%67.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.32%70.42%67.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Romania (客隊)

預測 14.51%6.89公平賠率
EV +8.82%
優勢 +1.18%
Kelly +1.36%
成長率 +0.120%

假設最高賠率為 7.50

博彩公司預測分布
12.97%14.65%14.40%16.88%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
5.506.416.507.5018.18%15.60%15.38%13.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.70%5.08公平賠率
EV +1.24%
優勢 +0.241%
Kelly +0.300%
成長率 +0.004%

假設最高賠率為 5.14

博彩公司預測分布
18.20%19.64%19.67%20.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.404.744.755.1422.73%21.09%21.05%19.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Sweden (主隊):65.79%;Romania (客隊):14.51%;和局:19.70%。 對於「Romania (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.89的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.50,對應+8.82%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (29 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-25 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-25 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.56%E +0.223%K +0.260%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 18:40
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.59%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -1.34%E -0.197%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.59%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -1.34%E -0.197%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:30
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.07%E -0.306%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 18:10
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.07%E -0.306%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 18:10
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.30%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.15%EV -2.79%E -0.417%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.55%EV -4.47%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 18:27
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.47%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.39%EV -3.52%E -0.529%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 18:40
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.60%E -3.17%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:25
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.64%EV -7.23%E -5.13%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-25 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.33%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-25 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.47%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.20%E -6.67%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-25 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.20%E -6.67%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-25 18:10
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.76%EV -3.94%E -2.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.56%EV -10.48%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +1.24%E +0.241%K +0.300%G +0.004%4.2%2026-09-25 18:40
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 18:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -7.43%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 18:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-25 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.001%7.7%2026-09-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 18:30
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40