语言:简体中文
Sweden v Romania
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sweden (主队)
预测 65.79%1.52公平赔率
EV -2.62%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -5.47%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
64.31%65.71%65.93%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.32%70.42%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Romania (客队)
预测 14.51%6.89公平赔率
EV +8.82%
优势 +1.18%
Kelly +1.36%
增长率 +0.120%
假设最高赔率为 7.50
博彩公司预测分布
12.97%14.65%14.40%16.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.506.416.507.5018.18%15.60%15.38%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.70%5.08公平赔率
EV +1.24%
优势 +0.241%
Kelly +0.300%
增长率 +0.004%
假设最高赔率为 5.14
博彩公司预测分布
18.20%19.64%19.67%20.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.744.755.1422.73%21.09%21.05%19.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sweden (主队)：65.79%；Romania (客队)：14.51%；平局：19.70%。 对于“Romania (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.89。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.50，对应+8.82%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.56%E +0.223%K +0.260%G +0.004% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.59%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -1.34%E -0.197%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.59%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -1.34%E -0.197%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.07%E -0.306%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.07%E -0.306%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.30%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.15%EV -2.79%E -0.417%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.55%EV -4.47%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-25 18:27 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.47%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.39%EV -3.52%E -0.529%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.60%E -3.17%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.64%EV -7.23%E -5.13%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.33%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.47%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-25 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.20%E -6.67%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.20%E -6.67%K -24.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-25 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.76%EV -3.94%E -2.70%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.56%EV -10.48%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +1.24%E +0.241%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 4.2% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -7.43%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-25 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-25 18:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 0.8% | 2026-09-25 18:40 |