Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sweden v Romania

Inizio: 2026-09-25 18:45 UTC

Finale: Sweden 2–1 Romania

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Sweden (Casa)

Previsione 65.79%1.52quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -5.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.31%65.71%65.93%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.32%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Romania (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.51%6.89quota equa
EV +8.82%
Vantaggio +1.18%
Kelly +1.36%
Crescita +0.120%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.97%14.65%14.40%16.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.416.507.5018.18%15.60%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.70%5.08quota equa
EV +1.24%
Vantaggio +0.241%
Kelly +0.300%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.20%19.64%19.67%20.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.404.744.755.1422.73%21.09%21.05%19.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Sweden (Casa): 65.79%; Romania (Trasferta): 14.51%; Pareggio: 19.70%. Per Romania (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.89. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +8.82%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-25 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.97%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-25 18:10
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV +1.56%E +0.223%K +0.260%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 18:40
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.59%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -1.34%E -0.197%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.59%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -1.34%E -0.197%K -0.231%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:30
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.07%E -0.306%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 18:10
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -2.07%E -0.306%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-25 18:10
Suprabets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.30%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.15%EV -2.79%E -0.417%K -0.490%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.55%EV -4.47%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-25 18:27
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.47%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.39%EV -3.52%E -0.529%K -0.622%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.14%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 18:40
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -4.60%E -3.17%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:25
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.44%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.64%EV -7.23%E -5.13%K -17.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.40%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-25 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.52%E -7.73%K -29.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -5.69%E -0.876%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -13.33%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-25 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -4.47%E -0.922%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.20%E -6.67%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-25 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.47%EV -9.20%E -6.67%K -24.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -9.32%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-25 18:10
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.76%EV -3.94%E -2.70%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.56%EV -10.48%E -1.70%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.68%EV +1.24%E +0.241%K +0.300%G +0.004%4.2%2026-09-25 18:40
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.62%E -1.77%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 18:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.26%E -3.65%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-25 18:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -5.46%E -1.14%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-25 18:29
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.99%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -7.43%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-25 18:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.89%E -5.63%K -19.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.95%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.36%E -2.53%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-25 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.92%EV -5.91%E -4.14%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.20%EV +0.453%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.001%7.7%2026-09-25 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -6.57%E -4.63%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -1.52%E -0.303%K -0.379%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-25 18:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.46%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.71%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-09-25 18:40