Language:English
Spain v Czech Republic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Spain (Local)
Prediction 89.02%1.12fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -32.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.87%89.22%91.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.0996.15%94.26%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Czech Republic (Visit)
Prediction 3.45%28.95fair odd
EV +41.64%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.433%
assuming max odds 41.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.37%3.46%3.45%4.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
20.0028.7329.0041.005.00%3.48%3.45%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.52%13.29fair odd
EV +20.39%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.277%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.07%7.67%7.33%10.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.3012.6713.0016.0010.75%7.89%7.69%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Spain (Local): 89.02%; Czech Republic (Visit): 3.45%; Draw: 7.52%. For Czech Republic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 28.95. 25 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 41.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +41.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.39%EV +41.64%E +1.02%K +1.04%G +0.433% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +20.39%E +1.27%K +1.36%G +0.277% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.49%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.39%EV +41.64%E +1.02%K +1.04%G +0.433% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +20.39%E +1.27%K +1.36%G +0.277% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.57%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.37%EV +41.64%E +1.02%K +1.04%G +0.433% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.07%EV +20.39%E +1.27%K +1.36%G +0.277% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.37%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.22%G +0.000% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.48%EV +31.27%E +0.823%K +0.845%G +0.264% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV -30.02%E -3.23%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.37%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.22%G +0.000% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.48%EV +31.27%E +0.823%K +0.845%G +0.264% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.15%EV -30.02%E -3.23%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.40%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.69%EV +24.36%E +0.677%K +0.696%G +0.170% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.34%E +0.382%K +0.411%G +0.022% | 3.4% | 2026-10-03 17:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.06%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.22%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +17.46%E +0.513%K +0.529%G +0.092% | 13.75I 7.27%NM 7.07%EV +3.46%E +0.252%K +0.272%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.95%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.84%EV +17.46%E +0.513%K +0.529%G +0.092% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.22%EV +16.63%E +1.07%K +1.15%G +0.191% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.23%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +17.46%E +0.513%K +0.529%G +0.092% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.96%EV -9.71%E -0.809%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.84%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +17.46%E +0.513%K +0.529%G +0.092% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +12.87%E +0.858%K +0.919%G +0.118% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.84%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +17.46%E +0.513%K +0.529%G +0.092% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +12.87%E +0.858%K +0.919%G +0.118% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.18%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV +7.09%E +0.229%K +0.236%G +0.017% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +5.34%E +0.382%K +0.411%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.18%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV +7.09%E +0.229%K +0.236%G +0.017% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +5.34%E +0.382%K +0.411%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.18%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.05%EV +7.09%E +0.229%K +0.236%G +0.017% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.76%EV +5.34%E +0.382%K +0.411%G +0.022% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.27%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.03%EV +7.09%E +0.229%K +0.236%G +0.017% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV +5.34%E +0.382%K +0.411%G +0.022% | 6.5% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.80%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.28%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.92%EV -9.71%E -0.809%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.27%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.51%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.62%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.21%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.37%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV +0.183%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.33%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.38%EV -3.27%E -0.117%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.47%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV -10.18%E -0.392%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -9.71%E -0.809%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.47%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV -10.18%E -0.392%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -9.71%E -0.809%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.10%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -10.18%E -0.392%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.10%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.63%EV -10.18%E -0.392%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.19%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -10.18%E -0.392%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.55%EV -2.97%E -2.72%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.15%EV -20.54%E -0.893%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.30%EV -13.47%E -1.17%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.22%EV -2.97%E -2.72%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -20.54%E -0.893%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.22%EV -2.97%E -2.72%K -32.97%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.13%EV -20.54%E -0.893%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.59%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.12%EV -20.54%E -0.893%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.29%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.53%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.03%EV -20.54%E -0.893%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 17:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.18%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.02%EV -20.54%E -0.893%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.80%EV -20.99%E -2.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.89%EV -4.75%E -4.44%K -67.82%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.27%EV -24.00%E -1.09%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -9.71%E -0.809%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 17:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.27%EV -6.53%E -6.22%K -130.56%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.26%EV -24.00%E -1.09%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.46%EV +9.11%E +0.628%K +0.674%G +0.061% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.71%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.19%EV -24.00%E -1.09%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.22%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -27.45%E -1.31%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -20.99%E -2.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -3.86%E -3.57%K -48.22%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -27.45%E -1.31%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -20.99%E -2.00%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.20%EV -5.64%E -5.32%K -93.96%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV -27.45%E -1.31%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -17.23%E -1.57%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.34%EV -7.42%E -7.13%K -185.46%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV -30.91%E -1.55%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -2.18%E -0.168%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.52% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.08% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.40% | 0.1% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.52% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.08% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.40% | 0.1% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.71% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.07% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.71% | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.07% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22% | 0.8% | 2026-10-03 18:41 |