Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Spain v Czech Republic

2026-10-03 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Spain (Casa)

Previsione 78.83%1.27quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -5.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.29%78.57%78.84%80.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.181.181.2588.50%85.04%84.75%80.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Czech Republic (Trasferta)

Previsione 7.06%14.16quota equa
EV +18.33%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.213%

ipotizzando la quota massima 16.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.72%7.12%7.15%8.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0013.4013.0016.7510.00%7.46%7.69%5.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 14.11%7.09quota equa
EV -1.25%
Vantaggio -0.179%
Kelly -0.209%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.04%14.32%14.01%16.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.856.596.757.0017.09%15.18%14.81%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Spain (Casa): 78.83%; Czech Republic (Trasferta): 7.06%; Pareggio: 14.11%. Per Czech Republic (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 14.16. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 16.75, con un valore atteso positivo del +18.33%.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.90%EV -3.04%E -2.47%K -13.22%G +0.000%16.75I 5.97%NM 5.72%EV +18.33%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.213%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.38%EV -17.48%E -2.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-29 11:17
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.71%EV -1.46%E -1.17%K -5.86%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.89%EV +16.56%E +1.00%K +1.07%G +0.177%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.41%EV -16.49%E -2.79%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-29 11:25
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.18%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +5.97%E +0.398%K +0.426%G +0.025%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-29 09:30
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 09:59
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -6.98%E -5.92%K -38.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -4.78%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 10:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -1.10%E -0.078%K -0.084%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.41%E -4.50%K -27.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.31%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-29 10:20
LeoVegas🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-29 12:50
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.41%E -4.50%K -27.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.36%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 11:19
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -5.41%E -4.50%K -27.03%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.36%E -2.56%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -8.16%E -0.628%K -0.680%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-29 12:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -7.77%E -6.64%K -45.71%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.23%EV -9.93%E -0.779%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV -6.90%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-29 09:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.92%EV -9.35%E -8.13%K -62.31%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.12%EV -9.93%E -0.779%K -0.845%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -8.31%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-29 09:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -11.69%E -0.935%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.72%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.49%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -11.69%E -0.935%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -9.72%E -1.52%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-29 10:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.52%EV -10.14%E -8.89%K -72.39%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.16%EV -11.69%E -0.935%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -11.83%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-29 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -9.35%E -8.13%K -62.31%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV -15.23%E -1.27%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.25%E -0.179%K -0.209%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-29 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -10.14%E -8.89%K -72.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -25.82%E -2.46%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.31%E -1.28%K -1.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-29 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.29%EV -10.92%E -9.67%K -84.03%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.73%EV -29.35%E -2.94%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.97%EV -11.83%E -1.89%K -2.25%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-29 09:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 74.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%17.1%2026-09-29 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 74.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%17.1%2026-09-29 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.14I 87.72%NM 74.89%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.56%17.1%2026-09-29 13:35